Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Istiqlol v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Nassr
AŞMP
3-1
HT 0-1
Istiqlol
AŞMP
Istiqlol 0-4 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr swept aside Istiqlol 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Istiqlol had 33% of the ball to Al Nassr's 67%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.34 to 2.39.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istiqlol and 3.00 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Istiqlol vs Al Nassr?
Istiqlol 0-4 Al Nassr in the AFCŞL2 on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Istiqlol vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Istiqlol 17%, draw 16%, Al Nassr 67%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.