Istiqlol 0-4 Al Nassr — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — AFC Champions League Two, 26 Nov 2025

Istiqlol LLWWL→
0 - 4 HT 0 - 2
Al Nassr LWWWW→
📅26/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
AFC Champions League Two – 2025/2026

Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:33
Match Result
Home
10%
7.3
Draw
15%
4.83
AwayVIEW
75%
1.29
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.31
Over
63%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.83
2-3
42%
1.93
4-5
30%
2.66
6+
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
1%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Istiqlol v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istiqlol The Market 14%
Signal
AWAY Al Nassr The Market 77%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.35
2.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Great
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
11 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2

Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istiqlol
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.32 xG 1.83
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
149 Passes 612
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 5-0 HT 2-0 Istiqlol Istiqlol AFCŞL2
05.12.2023 Istiqlol Istiqlol 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
02.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 0-1 Istiqlol Istiqlol AŞMP

Istiqlol 0-4 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istiqlol
0 - 4
AWAY Al Nassr
0.34 xG 2.39
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 527
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Istiqlol vs Al Nassr
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Nassr overpowered Istiqlol 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Istiqlol had 33% of the ball to Al Nassr's 67%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.34 to 2.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istiqlol and 3.00 for Al Nassr.

Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Result & Final Score

Istiqlol 0 - 4 Al Nassr in the AFC Champions League Two on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istiqlol vs Al Nassr Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Istiqlol 10%, draw 15%, Al Nassr 75%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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