Arsenal U19 4-2 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 26 Nov 2025

Arsenal U19
4-2 HT 1-1
Bayern München U19
📅26/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Arsenal U19 vs Bayern München U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.75
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.95
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.91 — our 47% vs market 44.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal U19 v Bayern München U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.80/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.46
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
– Crosses 12.2
4.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Arsenal U19 vs Bayern München U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayern München U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
20.10.2015 Arsenal U19 Arsenal U19 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 UEGL

Arsenal U19 4-2 Bayern München U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U19
4-2
AWAY Bayern München U19
4.14 xG 4.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 26
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U19 beat Bayern München U19 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal U19 had 49% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 51%, shots finished 18-26, expected goals 4.14 to 4.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayern München U19.

What was the final score of Arsenal U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Arsenal U19 4-2 Bayern München U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U19 25%, draw 26%, Bayern München U19 49%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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