Aston Villa U19 2-2 AZ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 26 Nov 2025

Aston Villa U19
2-2 HT 1-1
AZ U19
📅26/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Aston Villa U19 vs AZ U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa U19 v AZ U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U19 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.23/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.77
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Aston Villa U19 2-2 AZ U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U19
2-2
AWAY AZ U19
2.04 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
345 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U19 vs AZ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U19 and AZ U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U19 had 55% of the ball to AZ U19's 45%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.04 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U19 vs AZ U19?

Aston Villa U19 2-2 AZ U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U19 vs AZ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U19 48%, draw 25%, AZ U19 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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