Punjab FC 1-3 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away Pick
59%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.66
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.03
6+
6%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
1%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Punjab FC The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan The Market 61%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
1.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.75
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Great
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.42 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
271 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.09.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 2-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
1 - 3
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.29 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
247 Passes 340
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

ATK Mohun Bagan saw off Punjab FC 3-1 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.

The match data tells the story: Punjab FC had 44% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 56%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.29 to 1.76.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Punjab FC and 2.00 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan Result & Final Score

Punjab FC 1 - 3 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 19%, draw 22%, ATK Mohun Bagan 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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