Ballinamallard United 2-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

Ballinamallard United
2-1
Newry City AFC
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.71
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Newry City AFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
06.01.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRK
22.01.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
13.11.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.09.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
08.02.2020 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United squeezed past Newry City AFC 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC?

Ballinamallard United 2-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 44%, draw 27%, Newry City AFC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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