Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
19%
5.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.45/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.35
-27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 HT 2-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
12.12.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
07.10.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-0 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
25.03.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-2 HT 1-2 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.12.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades and Newington Youth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ballyclare Comrades at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Newington Youth?

Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 62%, draw 20%, Newington Youth 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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