Salford City vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Salford City v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Salford City vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Salford City 1-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Salford City nicked a narrow win over Harrogate Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Salford City had 61% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 39%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.40 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salford City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salford City and 0.67 for Harrogate Town.
Salford City vs Harrogate Town Result & Final Score
Salford City 1 - 0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Salford City vs Harrogate Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Salford City 73%, draw 16%, Harrogate Town 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.