Salford City 2-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
13%
3.95
X/2
7%
9.2
X/X
17%
4.63
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
12%
7.56
2/X
6%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.33
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 65%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.7 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 231
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
14.02.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
13.09.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
09.04.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
20.11.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.01.2021 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.40 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
221 Passes 128
63% Pass Accuracy 56%
40 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City beat Harrogate Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Salford City had 61% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 39%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.40 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salford City and 1.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Harrogate Town?

Salford City 2-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salford City 45%, draw 29%, Harrogate Town 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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