Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.11
1/2
11%
30.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
8%
6.38
X/2
17%
4.55
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.19
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.04/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.90
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
211 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 69%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
21.5 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Port Vale
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
197 Passes 250
57% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
28.10.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
28.01.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
03.09.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 2-2 HT 2-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
06.03.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
27.10.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1-1
AWAY Port Vale
1.05 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
148 Passes 318
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town and Port Vale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 37% of the ball to Port Vale's 63%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.05 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.50 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Port Vale?

Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 31%, draw 24%, Port Vale 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
3 Dec 2024
22:45 AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County Analysis →
22:45 Salford City vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
22:45 Colchester vs Swindon Town Analysis →
22:45 Walsall vs Notts County Analysis →
22:45 Bradford City vs Barrow Analysis →
22:45 Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →