Bradford City 1-1 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 36% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
12%
7.69
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
6.32
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.26
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.6 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barrow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 222
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
11.11.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.02.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
06.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
01.01.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
18.09.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-1
AWAY Barrow
0.61 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City and Barrow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Bradford City had 53% of the ball to Barrow's 47%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bradford City and 1.50 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Barrow?

Bradford City 1-1 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 44%, draw 29%, Barrow 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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