Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
8%
5.1
X/2
13%
5.98
X/X
10%
4.08
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.42
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.46
-11% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 61%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.1 Crosses 21.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 206
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
14.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
22.11.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
30.12.2017 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
12.09.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
25.03.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
5-2
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.14 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
374 Passes 191
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town cruised past Accrington Stanley 5-2. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grimsby Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 61% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 39%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.14 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.33 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 36%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 38%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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