Accrington Stanley 0-0 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.96
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.05
X/2
11%
6.48
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.86/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.37
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.9 Crosses 19.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
213 Passes 260
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
22.11.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
30.12.2017 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
12.09.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
25.03.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
26.12.2016 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
0-0
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.16 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
193 Passes 289
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
6 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Grimsby Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Accrington Stanley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 43% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 57%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.16 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Accrington Stanley and 0.83 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town?

Accrington Stanley 0-0 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 42%, draw 26%, Grimsby Town 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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