Sutton United 1-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.22
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.71
X/2
11%
6.26
X/X
17%
3.99
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.81
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
237 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 68%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.1 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
150 Passes 306
58% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
18.02.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
06.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.10 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
179 Passes 138
64% Pass Accuracy 54%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Doncaster Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sutton United had 52% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sutton United and 2.00 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Sutton United 1-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 39%, draw 31%, Doncaster Rovers 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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