Crawley Town 1-2 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

Crawley Town
1-2 HT 1-1
Morecambe
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crawley Town vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
11%
7.48
X/X
13%
5.42
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
13%
5.01
2/X
4%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.26/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 68%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.1 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Crawley Town vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.69
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
285 Passes 179
68% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
17.10.2020 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
16.11.2019 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
30.03.2019 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
15.09.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
10.03.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Crawley Town 1-2 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-2
AWAY Morecambe
70% Ball Possession 30%
5 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
184 Passes 64
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
2 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe nicked a narrow win over Crawley Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Crawley Town had 70% of the ball to Morecambe's 30%, shots finished 5-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crawley Town and 1.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Morecambe?

Crawley Town 1-2 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 43%, draw 27%, Morecambe 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crawley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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