Gillingham 1-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.01
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.33
X/2
11%
6.72
X/X
11%
3.77
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
14%
5.58
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.70/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
232 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 63%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.8 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Walsall
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
270 Passes 189
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 4-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
20.08.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.01.2019 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-2 Walsall Walsall İN1
18.08.2018 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
17.02.2018 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Walsall
1.06 xG 2.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
205 Passes 219
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Walsall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gillingham had 49% of the ball to Walsall's 51%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.06 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.83 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Walsall?

Gillingham 1-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 43%, draw 26%, Walsall 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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