Casertana 1-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.58/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
0W-1D-1L
AWAY US Latina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTCK
21.09.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-1
AWAY US Latina
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Casertana vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana and US Latina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 58% of the ball to US Latina's 42%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Casertana vs US Latina?

Casertana 1-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Casertana 49%, draw 26%, US Latina 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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