SSC Giugliano 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.75/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.76
+53% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2023 Picerno Picerno 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.01.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.09.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-2 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-1
AWAY Picerno
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano and Picerno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 56% of the ball to Picerno's 44%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 2.33 for Picerno.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Picerno?

SSC Giugliano 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 38%, draw 26%, Picerno 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Under 2.5
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