27/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Crema vs Club Milano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
28%
Home Win
19%
31%
Draw
28%
41%
Away Win
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crema v Club Milano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Crema
The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Club Milano
The Market 57%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-100%
/
-51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+23%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
254 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
405 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Crema vs Club Milano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Crema and Club Milano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Club Milano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Crema vs Club Milano?
Crema 1-1 Club Milano in the Italy - Serie D on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crema vs Club Milano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Club Milano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crema 28%, draw 31%, Club Milano 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Milano), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Club Milano)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
27 Jan 2024