Fano 0-1 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fano The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese The Market 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+61% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fano
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sambenedettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
07.02.2021 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-2 HT 1-0 Fano Fano İTC
11.10.2020 Fano Fano 0-2 HT 0-2 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
22.01.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 1-1 HT 0-0 Fano Fano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fano
0-1
AWAY Sambenedettese
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Fano vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sambenedettese edged past Fano 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sambenedettese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fano had 55% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 45%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sambenedettese led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fano and 1.67 for Sambenedettese.

What was the final score of Fano vs Sambenedettese?

Fano 0-1 Sambenedettese in the Italy - Serie D on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fano vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fano 31%, draw 34%, Sambenedettese 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sambenedettese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
27 Jan 2024
16:30 Crema vs Club Milano Analysis →
16:30 Alba Calcio vs Alcione Analysis →
17:00 Sanremese vs Bra Analysis →