Bayern München (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2024

Bayern München (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Hoffenheim (K)
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.81
No
62%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.4pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
1-0
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.08 xG 0.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
324 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 53% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 47%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.08 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 63%, draw 18%, Hoffenheim (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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