Barracas Central 1-1 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

Barracas Central
1-1 HT 1-1
Velez Sarsfield
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Barracas Central vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.44
No
71%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.82
2-3 Goals
33%
1.87
4-5 Goals
13%
7.5
6+ Goals
7%
67.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.33
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
15%
5.94
X/2
16%
4.48
X/X
22%
3.09
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
9%
3.61
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.1pp
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
-7.5pp
71%
BTTS No
63%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barracas Central v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -26%
1.18/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
+22% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.4 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Barracas Central vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.51 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 274
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
16.04.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
26.09.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
24.04.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ

Barracas Central 1-1 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
1-1
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.94 xG 0.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
299 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central and Velez Sarsfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.

On the day, Barracas Central had 47% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Barracas Central and 0.75 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Velez Sarsfield?

Barracas Central 1-1 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barracas Central win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 35%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barracas Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barracas Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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