Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
7.22
6+ Goals
6%
61.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.38
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
14%
6.07
X/2
17%
4.5
X/X
15%
3.1
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.55
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 18.6
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
Corners 9
04.03.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Independiente ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0-1
AWAY Independiente
0.34 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
206 Passes 266
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente edged past Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Independiente made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 46% of the ball to Independiente's 54%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.34 to 1.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente's control.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Independiente?

Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 32%, draw 29%, Independiente 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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