Brezilya U23 2-0 Kolombiya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2023 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 2-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya U23 Kolombiya U23 PANAM
06.09.2019 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 2-0 Kolombiya U23 Kolombiya U23 HU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya U23
2-0
AWAY Kolombiya U23
0.87 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
332 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brezilya U23 vs Kolombiya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U23 beat Kolombiya U23 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brezilya U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brezilya U23 had 50% of the ball to Kolombiya U23's 50%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brezilya U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brezilya U23 and 0.00 for Kolombiya U23.

What was the final score of Brezilya U23 vs Kolombiya U23?

Brezilya U23 2-0 Kolombiya U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya U23 vs Kolombiya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brezilya U23 45%, draw 27%, Kolombiya U23 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya U23), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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