Paraguay U23 1-0 Peru U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U23
1-0
AWAY Peru U23
1.45 xG 0.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
214 Passes 218
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U23 edged past Peru U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paraguay U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Paraguay U23 had 50% of the ball to Peru U23's 50%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23?

Paraguay U23 1-0 Peru U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U23 48%, draw 30%, Peru U23 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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