Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Jan 2024

Istra 1961
0-1 HT 0-1
Dinamo Zagreb
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v Dinamo Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
0.86/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.74
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +32%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
12.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.46 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
315 Passes 449
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.07.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.04.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.03.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
10.02.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.07.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR

Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.27 xG 0.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
240 Passes 394
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb edged past Istra 1961 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 42% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 58%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.27 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 22%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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