Osijek 2-0 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Jan 2024

Osijek
2-0 HT 2-0
Rudes
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 24% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.7pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.57
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
24.1 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Rudes
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
30.07.2023 Rudes Rudes 3-4 HT 3-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
12.04.2019 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 2-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
08.02.2019 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.10.2018 Rudes Rudes 1-4 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
05.08.2018 Osijek Osijek 3-2 HT 2-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-0
AWAY Rudes
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek got the better of Rudes 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Osijek had 65% of the ball to Rudes's 35%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Osijek and 1.00 for Rudes.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Rudes?

Osijek 2-0 Rudes in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Osijek 64%, draw 18%, Rudes 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
27 Jan 2024
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