Puebla 1-1 Toluca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 27 Jan 2024

Puebla LL→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Toluca DW→
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Puebla vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
OverVIEW
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.77
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.75
6+
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.43
1/2
3%
21.75
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.89
X/2
16%
4.86
X/X
13%
5.67
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
29%
2.75
2/X
5%
13.1
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Puebla v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Puebla The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Toluca The Market 51%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
1.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Puebla vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Toluca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Toluca Toluca 0-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
08.04.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-2 Toluca Toluca MEK
03.08.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-1 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
03.04.2022 Toluca Toluca 2-1 HT 2-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
06.11.2021 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
21.03.2021 Toluca Toluca 4-4 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK

Puebla 1-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1 - 1
AWAY Toluca
1.04 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
249 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Puebla vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Puebla and Toluca shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Toluca at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: both teams to score (61%) came in, over 2.5 goals (62%) didn't.

On the day, Puebla had 41% of the ball to Toluca's 59%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.04 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Toluca.

Puebla vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Puebla vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Puebla 29%, draw 23%, Toluca 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toluca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
27 Jan 2024
06:15 Tijuana vs Guadalajara Analysis →