Floriana 2-0 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.5pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.24/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.80
-29% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Lucia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-4 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
02.04.2023 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
15.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTAK
05.11.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
11.12.2021 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 1-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.07.2019 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
2-0
AWAY Santa Lucia
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana saw off Santa Lucia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Floriana had 49% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 51%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Floriana and 0.67 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Santa Lucia?

Floriana 2-0 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Floriana 53%, draw 26%, Santa Lucia 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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