Melgar vs Cusco FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Cusco FC — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Cusco FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Cusco FC
PER
2-2
HT 1-2
Cusco FC
PER
3-1
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Cusco FC
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
Melgar 2-3 Cusco FC — Actual Match Statistics
Cusco FC edged past Melgar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Melgar carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melgar had 73% of the ball to Cusco FC's 27%, shots finished 37-7, expected goals 3.82 to 1.45 — on chances, Melgar could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Melgar and 1.50 for Cusco FC.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Cusco FC?
Melgar 2-3 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cusco FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Melgar 58%, draw 23%, Cusco FC 19%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.