Sporting Cristal 6-2 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
2.05/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.8 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
1W-3D-0L
AWAY ADT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.41
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
352 Passes 153
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.08.2023 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.03.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
29.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
08.05.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
6-2
AWAY ADT
2.99 xG 1.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
143 Passes 234
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over ADT 6-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 41% of the ball to ADT's 59%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.99 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Sporting Cristal 6-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 64%, draw 21%, ADT 15%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ BTTS No
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27 Jan 2024
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