Al Najoom 4-2 Al Nairyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒15:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
36%
4-5
32%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
46%
Away Win
62%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najoom The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nairyah The Market 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Najoom vs Al Nairyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najoom beat Al Nairyah 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nairyah at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Najoom vs Al Nairyah?

Al Najoom 4-2 Al Nairyah in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najoom vs Al Nairyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nairyah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Najoom 28%, draw 26%, Al Nairyah 46%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nairyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nairyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD2 More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
27 Jan 2024
15:20 Al Jubail vs Tuwaiq Analysis →
16:00 Hottain vs Al-Sadd Analysis →
16:15 Alhowra vs Al-Saqer Analysis →