Alhowra 2-4 Al-Saqer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alhowra The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Saqer The Market 17%
-79% / -79% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alhowra vs Al-Saqer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Saqer got the better of Alhowra 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alhowra at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Alhowra vs Al-Saqer?

Alhowra 2-4 Al-Saqer in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alhowra vs Al-Saqer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alhowra win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alhowra 54%, draw 29%, Al-Saqer 17%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alhowra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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