Kifisia 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

Kifisia
0-1 HT 0-1
Aris Saloniki
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.74
Over 2.5
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
17.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.91 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
13%
8.37
X/2
12%
4.07
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.44
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kifisia v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 55%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.01/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.76
-44% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.2 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.19
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
151 Passes 470
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 25
7 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN

Kifisia 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.64 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
290 Passes 249
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki squeezed past Kifisia 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kifisia had 53% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 47%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.64 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki?

Kifisia 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 31%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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