Panaitolikos 1-2 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.56
X/2
14%
6.23
X/X
14%
4.01
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.92
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +16%
1.05/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.95
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.6 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lamia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
368 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
01.04.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-3 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
12.03.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
13.11.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-3 HT 1-2 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.03.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 0-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
16.02.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-2
AWAY Lamia
0.97 xG 1.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
419 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panaitolikos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 59% of the ball to Lamia's 41%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.97 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lamia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.33 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Lamia?

Panaitolikos 1-2 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 42%, draw 29%, Lamia 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5
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