Dewa United 3-2 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
2.10/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
+45% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
270 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.08.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 3-1 HT 2-1 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
15.09.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
3-2
AWAY PSM Makassar
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United nicked a narrow win over PSM Makassar 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dewa United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dewa United had 68% of the ball to PSM Makassar's 32%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dewa United and 2.00 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs PSM Makassar?

Dewa United 3-2 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 50%, draw 24%, PSM Makassar 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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