Al Masry 2-1 ENPPI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
1.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
5.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.95 — our 45% vs market 42.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.6pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.5pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.4pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY ENPPI EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.08/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.21
-26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.0 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
3W-3D-0L
AWAY ENPPI
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 235
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
01.12.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
28.02.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
29.10.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
30.07.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
03.03.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 2-2 HT 1-2 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-1
AWAY ENPPI
1.85 xG 0.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
455 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs ENPPI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry squeezed past ENPPI 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 37% / 26% — and on the day Al Masry made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Masry had 63% of the ball to ENPPI's 37%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.85 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Masry's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Masry and 0.83 for ENPPI.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs ENPPI?

Al Masry 2-1 ENPPI in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs ENPPI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 37%, draw 37%, ENPPI 26%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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