Zamalek vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zamalek v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals
Zamalek vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Zamalek
MSR
2-1
HT 2-1
El Gounah
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Zamalek
MSR
1-0
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
Zamalek 4-1 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics
Zamalek ran out comfortable winners over El Gounah 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Zamalek had 59% of the ball to El Gounah's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zamalek and 0.83 for El Gounah.
What was the final score of Zamalek vs El Gounah?
Zamalek 4-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zamalek vs El Gounah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 49%, draw 29%, El Gounah 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.