AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Jan 2025

AVS
1-0 HT 0-0
Gil Vicente
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

AVS vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.89
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
11%
6.2
X/2
9%
5.0
X/X
18%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.5
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AVS v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -28%
1.43/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.19
+45% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
12.8 Crosses 17.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

AVS vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.42 xG 2.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
258 Passes 471
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 4-2 HT 2-2 AVS AVS POR

AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.45 xG 0.42
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 8
222 Passes 573
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AVS vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS edged past Gil Vicente 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day AVS made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AVS had 31% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 69%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.45 to 0.42.

What was the final score of AVS vs Gil Vicente?

AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AVS 35%, draw 30%, Gil Vicente 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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