Al Jubail 2-1 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jubail The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah The Market 46%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.02
-100% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jubail
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Jubail Al Jubail SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jubail
2-1
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Jubail vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jubail squeezed past Al Bukayriyah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Bukayriyah at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jubail had 33% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 67%, shots finished 5-24.

What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Jubail 2-1 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 29%, draw 28%, Al Bukayriyah 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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