Al-Ain 3-2 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No Pick
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Ain The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa The Market 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.94
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Ain
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Safa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 0-3 HT 0-2 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
26.02.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
20.09.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Ain
3-2
AWAY Al Safa
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al-Ain vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain edged past Al Safa 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Al-Ain found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Ain had 51% of the ball to Al Safa's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al-Ain had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al-Ain and 0.33 for Al Safa.

What was the final score of Al-Ain vs Al Safa?

Al-Ain 3-2 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Ain vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al-Ain 39%, draw 32%, Al Safa 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Ain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Ain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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