Colchester 0-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.75
Over
52%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.87
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.77
6+
11%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.18
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.58
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Colchester The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.33 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.17
0.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.35
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
215 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.3 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.07
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
204 Passes 277
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
28.03.2025 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
23.11.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
16.04.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
24.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
11.02.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.31 xG 1.41
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
411 Passes 194
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
48 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Colchester vs Grimsby Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Grimsby Town squeezed past Colchester 1-0 away from home.

A gentle 43% lean on Colchester didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.75, roughly 57%.

By the numbers, Colchester had 63% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 37%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 2.31 to 1.41 — on chances, Colchester could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Grimsby Town.

Colchester vs Grimsby Town Result & Final Score

Colchester 0-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Colchester vs Grimsby Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colchester 43%, draw 25%, Grimsby Town 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
27 Jan 2026
22:30 Newport County vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
22:45 Bromley vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
22:45 Walsall vs Crawley Town Analysis →
22:45 Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
22:45 Salford City vs Chesterfield Analysis →
22:45 Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →