Negele Arsi Ketema 1-0 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
+30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
1-0
AWAY Sidama Bunna
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema nicked a narrow win over Sidama Bunna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Negele Arsi Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 41% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 59%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?

Negele Arsi Ketema 1-0 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sidama Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 30%, draw 33%, Sidama Bunna 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sidama Bunna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sidama Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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