Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
0.96/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.24
-1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 HT 2-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
03.05.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 HT 0-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
16.12.2023 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 HT 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0-1
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Nigd Bank found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 53% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 47%, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 2.00 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 35%, draw 29%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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