Hamrun Spartans 5-0 Fgura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.18
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
80%
-2.4pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.4pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Fgura EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.00/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+0% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +42%
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
523 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
5-0
AWAY Fgura
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Fgura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans swept aside Fgura 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 72% of the ball to Fgura's 28%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Fgura?

Hamrun Spartans 5-0 Fgura in the Malta - FA Cup on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Fgura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 77%, draw 14%, Fgura 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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