Swieqi Utd 2-4 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.1
Over 2.5
64%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.6pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swieqi Utd EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swieqi Utd
2-4
AWAY Naxxar Lions
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swieqi Utd vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions saw off Swieqi Utd 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Swieqi Utd had 39% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 61%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Swieqi Utd vs Naxxar Lions?

Swieqi Utd 2-4 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swieqi Utd vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swieqi Utd 31%, draw 21%, Naxxar Lions 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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