Portimonense U23 1-3 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.43
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-3
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 got the better of Portimonense U23 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 52% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 48%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Portimonense U23 1-3 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 42%, draw 24%, Gil Vicente U23 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portimonense U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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