Benfica U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.88/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.03
+11% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
18.10.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
19.10.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
29.08.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 nicked a narrow win over Benfica U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Benfica U23 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 55% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 45%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 1.50 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Benfica U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 61%, draw 20%, Santa Clara U23 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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