Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.63
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.02
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
22%
3.31
X/2
9%
12.4
X/X
9%
4.08
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
9%
12.2
2/X
8%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.07/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.61
-14% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
13.1 Crosses 13.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mallorca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.97 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
06.02.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.10.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
12.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
17.01.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İSPK
19.10.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-1
AWAY Mallorca
2.25 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 4
420 Passes 228
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 9
39 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Mallorca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 61% of the ball to Mallorca's 39%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.25 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.33 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?

Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 50%, draw 25%, Mallorca 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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