Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

Mallorca
1-2 HT 1-1
Real Sociedad
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.6
No
67%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
14%
8.94
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
5.82
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.35
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
17%
4.2
X/X
22%
2.92
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.48
2/X
4%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.8pp
67%
BTTS No
66%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mallorca v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.15/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.13
+23% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
14.5 Crosses 15.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 Passes 378
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.10.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
12.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
17.01.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İSPK
19.10.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
02.03.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-2
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.13 xG 1.13
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
137 Passes 404
60% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 34
8 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad edged past Mallorca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 32% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 68%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.13 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Real Sociedad?

Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 27%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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