Granada 1-1 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
12%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.6
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
10%
4.77
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.5 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Almeria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.30
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Almeria Almeria 3-3 HT 3-0 Granada Granada İS1
29.07.2019 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
17.03.2019 Almeria Almeria 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
27.10.2018 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
13.05.2018 Almeria Almeria 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
08.12.2017 Granada Granada 3-2 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-1
AWAY Almeria
1.99 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
373 Passes 249
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada and Almeria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada had 59% of the ball to Almeria's 41%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.99 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Granada and 1.17 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Granada vs Almeria?

Granada 1-1 Almeria in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Granada 45%, draw 26%, Almeria 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Granada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5
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